Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Doncaster
17.4%
Draw
9.6%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Doncaster
vs
0.61
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
5.5%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).