Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.9%
Bielefeld
18.8%
Draw
11.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Bielefeld
vs
0.88
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).