Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
West Ham
28.3%
Draw
43.8%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
West Ham
vs
1.56
Brighton
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).