Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Ajaccio
30.1%
Draw
28.0%
Laval
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Ajaccio
vs
0.78
Laval
Markets
BTTS34.1%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.553.4%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
15.1%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).