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21 Dec 2024 · 12:00

Ulm

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Preußen Münster
31.8%
Draw
26.7%
Ulm

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Preußen Münster

vs
0.92

Ulm

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
13.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).