Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Kristiansund
27.1%
Draw
36.2%
Fredrikstad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Kristiansund
vs
1.22
Fredrikstad
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).