Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Osasuna
23.2%
Draw
11.5%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Osasuna
vs
0.56
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
15.1%
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).