Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Sevilla
25.8%
Draw
28.3%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Sevilla
vs
1.16
Valencia
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).