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27 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.0%
Haugesund
25.5%
Draw
52.5%
Fredrikstad

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Haugesund

vs
1.53

Fredrikstad

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).