Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Gosport Borough
24.9%
Draw
42.8%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Gosport Borough
vs
1.46
Stoke
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).