Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Tamworth
23.3%
Draw
41.6%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Tamworth
vs
1.88
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS70.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-3
4.5%
0-1
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
1-0
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).