Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.2%
Newcastle
11.5%
Draw
5.3%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
3.27
Newcastle
vs
0.82
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.577.4%
Over 3.558.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.8%
2-0
9.0%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
8.0%
2-1
7.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-0
5.2%
1-1
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
5-1
4.3%
3-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).