Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Cadiz
23.4%
Draw
44.9%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Cadiz
vs
1.69
Santander
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).