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22 Sept 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.6%
Rijeka
21.7%
Draw
6.8%
Šibenik

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Rijeka

vs
0.44

Šibenik

Markets

BTTS31.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.5%
2-0
17.4%
3-0
10.9%
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
4-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-1
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-0
1.9%
1-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).