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17 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.0%
Charlton
19.4%
Draw
17.6%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.98

Charlton

vs
0.92

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).