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05 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.8%
West Brom
29.4%
Draw
37.8%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

West Brom

vs
1.39

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).