Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.4%
Troyes
20.8%
Draw
15.8%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Troyes
vs
0.74
Caen
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).