Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Oviedo
27.4%
Draw
26.5%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Oviedo
vs
0.95
Malaga
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).