Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Cartagena
24.4%
Draw
55.0%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Cartagena
vs
1.64
Granada
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).