Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.1%
Portsmouth
31.4%
Draw
34.5%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Portsmouth
vs
1.10
Watford
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).