Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Ath Bilbao
26.3%
Draw
29.7%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.20
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).