Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Carlisle
22.3%
Draw
57.7%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Carlisle
vs
1.67
Bolton
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).