Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Tenerife
36.2%
Draw
39.4%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Tenerife
vs
0.87
Alaves
Markets
BTTS26.6%
Over 0.577.5%
Over 1.543.6%
Over 2.518.8%
Over 3.56.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.5%
0-1
19.9%
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
0-3
2.5%
2-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
3-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).