Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Toulouse
23.3%
Draw
37.2%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Toulouse
vs
1.44
Monaco
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).