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23 Sept 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.3%
Kolos Kovalivka
31.3%
Draw
36.4%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Kolos Kovalivka

vs
1.06

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS41.2%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).