Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.9%
Alanyaspor
24.5%
Draw
65.5%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Alanyaspor
vs
2.03
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).