Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Sassuolo
26.0%
Draw
26.7%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Sassuolo
vs
1.02
Brescia
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).