Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Dundee United
27.8%
Draw
26.3%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Dundee United
vs
1.05
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).