Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Istanbulspor
33.3%
Draw
47.7%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Istanbulspor
vs
1.43
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.5%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).