Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Oxford City
21.6%
Draw
65.5%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Oxford City
vs
2.05
Southend
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
0-1
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
0-4
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).