Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Greuther Furth
25.2%
Draw
43.0%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Greuther Furth
vs
1.74
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).