Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Santander
20.4%
Draw
30.5%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Santander
vs
1.70
Castellon
Markets
BTTS72.3%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.554.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
0-1
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).