Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Stevenage
24.9%
Draw
19.2%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Stevenage
vs
0.76
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).