Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Valladolid
20.3%
Draw
66.8%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Valladolid
vs
2.07
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.2%
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
8.4%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
0-4
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).