Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Crotone
28.1%
Draw
25.5%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Crotone
vs
1.06
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).