Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Shrewsbury
22.7%
Draw
51.9%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Shrewsbury
vs
1.63
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).