Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.7%
Marseille
6.0%
Draw
2.3%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
3.53
Marseille
vs
0.46
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.556.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.5%
4-0
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
5-0
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-1
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
5-1
3.9%
1-1
2.8%
0-0
1.7%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).