Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
RB Leipzig
21.3%
Draw
16.2%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
RB Leipzig
vs
1.02
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).