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02 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Spartans
34.0%
Draw
32.5%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Spartans

vs
1.08

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).