Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Trapani
33.0%
Draw
33.1%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Trapani
vs
1.02
Modena
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
11.7%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).