Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Gateshead
18.9%
Draw
66.7%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Gateshead
vs
2.45
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.2%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).