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21 Feb 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.9%
Kolos Kovalivka
31.5%
Draw
17.6%
Chornomorets

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Kolos Kovalivka

vs
0.58

Chornomorets

Markets

BTTS31.2%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.526.5%
Over 3.510.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.9%
0-0
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).