Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Everton
31.4%
Draw
30.8%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Everton
vs
1.11
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).