Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Brighton
29.4%
Draw
21.9%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Brighton
vs
0.94
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).