Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
22.8%
Draw
59.8%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.04
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.6%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).