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24 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.0%
Cambridge
30.7%
Draw
24.3%
Stevenage

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Cambridge

vs
0.72

Stevenage

Markets

BTTS33.6%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.4%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).