Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Ath Bilbao
24.8%
Draw
21.7%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.00
Espanol
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).