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30 Sept 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.2%
Dunkerque
20.9%
Draw
20.9%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Dunkerque

vs
0.99

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).