Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Cremonese
31.1%
Draw
33.0%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Cremonese
vs
0.94
Empoli
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).