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31 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.3%
Queens Park Rangers
22.3%
Draw
57.4%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Queens Park Rangers

vs
2.10

Coventry

Markets

BTTS61.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.2%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
0-0
4.5%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).